Here is a quick entry for those wanting some Halloween fun before this crucial/historic elections. A nice alternative way to vote :)

Obama Jack-o-lantern ecard

Its July 4th and it seems like after the MT poll we are really talking of a UNITED States of America. This maybe the first election in a long time when we wont have the traditional Red state or the blue State elections.

So here is an ecard i saw out there taking off his 2004 speech. Which really was his launching pad for this run.

http://www.gotfreecards.com/greetingcard s/gc/viewSelection.action?category=4JUL& amp;start=0&desc=July+4th&type=A LL&dojo.preventCache=1215102264366&a mp;cardcode=ci_g_015.jpg

Obama brought the NAFTA issue on himself and he lost OHIO and his $5 Mil there. They should have deflected it rather than denying it by calling out the adviser as a lone ranger. I am not even sure why HRC is there today. Its a done deal she wins there.

HRC's campaign is slow (Mark Penn should go if she wins and continues) but finally they got their heads out of the sand (of Iraq) and put out the response about not having any hearings on Afghanistan. This is  a much more potent issue that he cannot DEFLECT like the "phone ad" with IRAQ. It was important in his own words and when he could do something he did NOTHING/NADA. So is his campaign all words, all speeches?!

Lastly the Rezko trial is bringing his own VAUNTED JUDGMENT to question when he does land deals with a "known" crook.

Having said all this I believe she does need to win OH big > 5 or with both TX and OH in a squeaker to carry on.

So Clinton is backup in this poll. This means it can still 3/4 on 3/4.

Four days out from the Texas Democratic presidential primary, the race remains a statistical
tie, but now it's back to a 46%-45% lead for Hillary Clinton over Barack Obama. The seesaw battle for a one point lead over the past couple of days underscores the critical
importance for both campaigns of mobilizing their supporters and getting people out

http://www.wfaa.com/s/dws/img/standing/wfaa/poll/data/0229/summary0229.pdf

Here is the important piece of information every one is over estimating BHO bases and coming up with close #s. If Hispanics show up in more numbers HRC wins by 5 at least.

"The current survey projects a slightly smaller turnout from Hispanic voters (26%, down from 31%) and a very slight increase among African-American voters (21% up from 19%). It is impossible to project exactly who will show up and vote in a Primary. Rasmussen Reports analyzed a variety of turnout models and found plausible results ranging from a two-point Obama lead to a five-point Clinton lead."

Is Ted Kennedy doing what he did in 1980 mortally wounding the Party's nominee. Remember he refused to endorse the SITTING PRESIDENT the party was divided and we had 12 years of Regan, Bush. Is this what is happening again?

Ted does not have any sway with the electorate, not even in his home state of MA but he difinetly spun the MEDIA good. They loved it, they loved the endorsement and all the Kennedy mystic. They ran those pictures 24X7. I also saw a report that showed Obama got 81% positive reference in media to 50% for Clinton.

So YES OBAMA did have the momentum going into Super Tuesday and most pundit types were sure he would blow her out of the water in MA, CA even NJ and thats how you get those ZOGBY polls and exit polls. So Clinton did STOP this express. So now that its a tie but Clinton won most of the states that a DEM will carry in GE. Who cares about ID, ND, KS if we think we are going to win those states in GE it really is a "fairytale" or "alice in wonderland" We should unite around Clinton Obama ticket. But that cannot happen as long as we have the  pundits and dailykos pushing Obama?! Can it?

PRINCETON, NJ -- On the eve of the Super Tuesday election, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama remain closely matched in national Democratic voters' nomination preferences. Gallup Poll Daily tracking data from Feb. 1-3 show Hillary Clinton the top choice of 47% of Democratic voters and Barack Obama the preferred nominee of 43%. This like Rasmussen is showing the Race still in Clinton's column. Take it for what it is worth. http://www.gallup.com/poll/104125/Gallup-Daily-Tracking-Election-2008.aspx

It is funny how people are paying attention to all the polls today.  On Saturday when the polls were showing HRC rebounding everyone said its the "Friday night" affect. What happened on Sat and Sunday? Sunday how many people were taking calls from pollster only the media elite from Washington I imagine? Polling on Sunday was like sending out polls through snail mail resulting in the famous "Dewey beats Truman" headline.

Most polls have been all over the map. Surely there is a drift to Obama but only the actual results will tell if the movement is real or imagined up by pundits on TV.

Having said that if HRC cannot win NJ or CA the drum beat for her drop out will be louder than the cheers in NYC yesterday.